The
Great Australian Saga of
Uninterrupted Economic Growth
Australia
has been experiencing 16 years of
uninterrupted economic growth. The
country's reputation as a highly
competitive economy continues to
strengthen. In 2007, the Australian
economy was ranked in the top three
countries in the Asia Pacific region
for its overall competitiveness,
and among the countries with population
of 20 million or more Australia
ranks third, behind only the United
States and Canada.
In terms of economic activity across
the OECD more broadly, the Economic
Outlook forecasts that the growth
will continue to expand strongly
in 2007 and 2008, underpinned by
strong job creation and falling
unemployment, ongoing buoyancy in
emerging market economies and favourable
financial conditions.
The positive outlook is supported
by solid growth in the Euro area
and Japan. Although economic activity
in the US is projected to moderate
in 2007 due to the weak housing
market, growth is expected to gradually
regain momentum during 2008. Outside
of the OECD, China is forecast to
continue its strong expansion, supported
by accelerating domestic demand
and robust export growth.
The International Monetary Fund
has recently commended the Australian
government on its sound macroeconomic
management and continuing structural
reform efforts that have underpinned
the sustained strong economic performance.
"Looking ahead, macroeconomic
policies are well positioned to
face potential external shocks".
Australia's economy is ranked the
7th most resilient in the world
and second in the region. With forecast
economic growth of 3.3% in 2007
and 2008, well above the forecast
average of OECD growth rate of 2.7%
in both years, Australia will continue
to expand more rapidly than most
other OECD economies.
While the resource sector is booming,
Australia is now predominantly a
services-based economy, with services
accounting for almost 80% of economic
activity.
In AT Kearney's FDI Confidence Index
2005, Australia remained in the
top eight most preferred investment
destinations worldwide. The United
Nations Conference on Trade and
Development has reinforced Australia's
performance with the finding that
"Australia is the developed
world's third most popular destination
for transnational corporations establishing
or relocating their headquarters".
In 2006, Australia's net public
debt was (-) 4.1 percent of GDP,
compared to the OECD average of
44 percent (Japan 86 percent, the
US 44 percent and the UK 40). According
to IMF, "the elimination of
net public debt by the Australian
government was an impressive milestone
that few countries have been able
to achieve.”
The demand for economic stability
and international competitiveness
means that sound economic management
is foremost on the Australian Government's
agenda. Major reforms to the labour
market, business taxation, and competition
and protection policy, have delivered
an economy well equipped to respond
swiftly to global trends and pressures.
The OECD has noted that reforms
to the labour market in particular
have made Australia more adaptable
to changes in the economic environment.
The OECD finds that while employment
growth tends to initially lower
average measured productivity growth,
this does not mean that higher employment
causes the productivity of individual
workers to fall.
The OECD states that this “…
arises because, other things being
equal, policy reforms which increase
employment can promote job opportunities
for low-skilled workers, generate
diminishing returns to labour input
or expand labour-intensive activities,
thereby exerting downward pressure
on average measured labour productivity,
but pro-employment policies will
rather often raise GDP per capita.
High productivity and export growth
have been hallmarks of the Australian
economy over the past decade across
a diverse industry base. There is
no doubt that the Australian economy
is the perfect platform for investment
and business growth. "Australia's
financial system is healthy and
financial supervision is sound.”
"The Australian economy is
now in the sixteenth year of uninterrupted
expansion, the longest boom it its
history. In the last 15 years wealth
has more than doubled, output has
increased by nearly two thirds,
the capital stock by more than half,
labour productivity by a little
under half, and the number of jobs
by a quarter. The growth of income
per person has been faster in Australia
over the period than in Canada,
the United States, the United Kingdom
or New Zealand", Dr. John Edwards,
Chief Economist, HSBC Bank for Australia.