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5th Indo-US Economic Summit
Looking Ahead:
Consolidating Alliances


The 5th Indo-US Economic Summit, the annual flagship event of Indo-American Chamber of Commerce was held in New Delhi from 7 to 9 January, 2009 on the theme Looking Ahead: Consolidating Alliances. The Summit covered a vast spectrum of the Indian economy civil aviation and aerospace, urban infrastructure, transportation and logistics, civilian nuclear energy, Information Technology and Communications and manufacturing and the immense potential these sectors offered for investment and growth. The different sessions, where eminent speakers from their respective areas of specialization, came up with recommendations that could be eventually pursued with governments and corporates in the near future. Following is the gist of the Summit sessions and their sector-wise reports.
 

Civil Aviation & Aerospace-High Tech US Aid vital

• In the past five years there has been positive and intense engagement between the US and India which has resulted in taking up many collaborative projects. The civil aviation sector is one of the fastest growing areas of Indo- US technology and economic engagement. The Spurt in the growth of the Civil Aviation market has attracted a high level interest both in the government and Industry of USA. The government of India and Indian industry seeks technical, human resource, high-tech and commercial support from the US in its efforts to modernize the civil aviation industry in India and to meet the challenges of its rapid expansion.

• The Indian aerospace industry is still at a nascent stage and there is a long way to go in the development of the Aerospace industry. The conclusion of the bilateral civil aviation agreement between India and the US will also help in the process of developing the Aerospace industry in India. This agreement will be in place by 2010.

• India with its strength in the IT sector can play a vital role in the IT segment of the Aerospace industry. The Civil aviation sector has shown tremendous growth in the past 3-4 years though there has been a decline in the past due to the recession and rising oil prices. But we are confident of a double growth in the long run.

• There is no presence of USA in the airports sector, however as per the new government policy of 100% FDI being permitted in the airport sector through the automatic route with such a favorable investment regime it is expected that the airport industry from the US will come forward and partner in the growth of this sector. The state government has come up with projects like Aero- polis.

Urban Infrastructure -Redefine PPP

• There is going to be two-thirds growth in urbanization between 2001 and 2026. This will lead to only 33% urbanization rate in India. There is need to manage urban density (pressure on land and increasing population). Substantial investment in Urban Infrastructure is required. The government has come up with National Urban Renewal Mission.

• There is need for meeting the demands of mobility leading to demand for better transport solutions. The Eleventh Plan aims at building 1000 km of fresh Highways, converting 6500kms highways into six lanes and converting 29000kms highways into four lanes, modernizing 35 airports, creating seven Greenfield Airports. Government should focus on bringing a reduction in the use of fossil fuel usage, purification of air etc

Redefine PPP, relationship between private sector and the government. The private partner could concentrate on providing the core service whereas the public partner should think about how to capture more value from the public goods like having a congestion tax, enhanced property tax, betterment levis could be levied on such projects. Property tax is not levied properly in some cities. There is a need for having a new management relationship than just having a transfer of funds.

Transportation & Logistics-Develop Hubs/Parks

The world spends $ 2.35 trillion a year on logistics, which is growing at a CAGR of 6-8%. India spends about13% of its GDP on logistic costs. These are the highest in the world. 2/3 of overall logistic costs in India arise from transportation and warehousing.

• India has 2nd largest road network in the world with road industry growing at 9% year on year. However the road industry is highly fragmented. There is no consolidated platform available on a corporative basis to share technology etc. Road freight volume is growing at 6-8% per annum.

• India has 2nd largest rail network. There has been phenomenal growth in the last 7-8 years in railways. However the fare/freight ratio is very low due to cross subsidization, which needs to be reduced. Premium passenger services are priced very high which is not a very viable strategy since railways are competing with airways for premier segment. Railways need to consider provision of complete logistic solutions to its freight customers, in addition to decreasing unit costs and providing superior services.

• Logistic hubs can be developed along or near important railheads through joint ventures between State Governments and Railways, through PPPs and direct private sector participation. These hubs are to be strategically located to capture agro-industrial produce in the hinterland and to provide competitive transport to expand access to markets for industries in the covered areas.

• India has the largest coastline with 17 major ports and many minor ports. We have the largest shipping fleet among the developing countries. But our service share is only 1% in the world market. There is need to develop and use our inland waterways. A great opportunity lies in developing and using our inland waterways. There is need to use a Multi Modal logistics between major and minor ports

• Rural India offers virgin territory to marketers. 70% of Indian villages cannot be reached. 37% of our produce is lost due to lack of reach. There is a need to and synergize the various sectors road, railways, air, coastal

N-Energy-Need for JVs with Private Sector

One of the major challenges that India and the rest of the world will face is the energy challenge. For a continental sized economy like India to register double digit growth in the next several decades, there will be a massive energy demand.

Nuclear energy is both a clean as well as scalable source and in order to face the twin challenge of climate change and energy, there is no escape from developing it.

India has a well established and mature, more than 40 years old nuclear industry with private participation, a well established regulatory system and a strong base in skilled man power. India's record in terms of non proliferation has been impeccable.

Relying on our own Uranium resources alone, it is estimated that we can sustain a program of 10, 000 MW over a period of 40 years.

The Indo- US Civil Nuclear Agreement is the most significant achievement in the energy history of two of the world's greatest democracies. The agreement has set the course for accelerating trade and investments in civil nuclear energy. It has also opened the international uranium market to India.

With a supportive international environment and no technology denial regimes operating against the country, India can rapidly expand in the nuclear sector on a much larger scale. India has raised its nuclear energy production target to 60,000 MW by 2030, from the earlier target of 20,000 MW by 2020.

If there is a large expansion in the Indian nuclear sector the prospects for private sector in various related equipment and technology components of the project will be significant. Some of the benefits for the private sector are access to dual use technologies; participation in areas such as equipments, accessories, and technology requirements in the nuclear energy segment.

There is no private sector participation in nuclear power generation before the sectors open for the private participation, a clear separation needs to be made between the civilian and strategic sectors of nuclear energy, which he said would be completed only by 2014.

The Indian nuclear market has opportunities worth billions of dollars. Some of the opportunities for the US business players in the Indian nuclear sector are sale of technology, nuclear power plant and uranium to India; supply of equipments not manufactured in India; source equipment manufacturing in India for re- exports to the US, tap the India human resources and skilled workers such as welders; provide consultancy services in the nuclear sector etc. A number of foreign players are interested in having Indian private sector partners for collaboration ventures in the nuclear industry related to fields such as technology.

There is a very significant opportunity in the domestic area as well as the bulk of the new development is going to come on the Eastern Hemisphere including India.

In all the segments of the nuclear industry there is a need to get into joint ventures due to various high entry barriers and in order to successfully venture into the industry it needs to have a global reach. There is lot of potential for Innovative Contracting as well.

Right now the nuclear act does not allow FDI and hence it needs to be amended to support FDI that will bring great opportunities for India. Legal, regulatory and policy frameworks need to be set up to facilitate FDI, import of nuclear power plants, uranium etc.

However, the privatization of the nuclear sector needs to take place in a cautious, step- wise, highly regulated manner for it to be sustained.

The United States and the US private industry look forward to expanding cooperation with India in supporting the flourishing of its civil nuclear power sector. Expanding opportunities in India's private sector can enable India to prosper in the international civil nuclear technology.

IT - Make Targeted Investments

The Indian market is one of the fastest growing IT sector markets in the world. As a result there is an increasing focus by the Indian IT majors on the domestic market. Traditionally India has been an exporter of IT products and services rather than a consumer. But over the last 3-4 years there has been an increased demand for IT products and services to allow domestic corporations and Indian operations of global companies to benefit from the productivity gains that IT expenditures can generate.

The small and medium sized companies are investing more in technology absorption and up gradation as they try to compete and participate in the global supply chain as well as the domestic supply chain. The services sector has been a large consumer of technology especially the Telecom and Financial Services sectors. More recently, the retail business have also seen significant investments in IT. In addition, there have been increasing investments in the Customer Relationship Management (CRM) as well as Human Resource Management (HRM) segments.

Today the IT and BPO industry contributes to about 5 % of the country's GDP. Last year the entire Indian BPO industry was worth $ 11 billion. The KPO segment has a huge potential in India as all the necessary ingredients are present in the country. The Indian KPO segment has the potential of a compounded annual growth rate of 38% growing to $11- 12 billion by the year 2010- 2011.

India, by implementing a world class telecom infrastructure, adopting and maintaining highest international quality standards, implementing information and data security protocols along with the government support, is targeting an export potential worth billions, creating direct and indirect jobs for over 10 million people.

The government is spending on e- Governance as well as Infrastructure projects thereby creating huge opportunities for IT investment.

There has been an impact of the current economic downturn on India but it is not as severe as in the developed nations. One of the ways to manage the IT investments in the current economic scenario is to make targeted IT investments by increasing operational efficiency and revenue.

Some of the suggested innovative practices could be looking at hot markets/segments that still have the potential to grow faster, integrating one's business with that of the customer, doing more of farming than going after new businesses, and focusing on innovation in terms of products as well as services.

Manufacturing-Focus on Purpose, Process & People

Due to the present day global slowdown there has been a rapid change in the world economic scenario.

One of the ways organizations are responding to the economic changes is by looking at opportunities through consolidation. In a downturn the opportunities in consolidation acquisitions have multiplied as companies are available at cheaper rates. Some of the reasons resulting in global consolidation are exploiting new markets, exploiting product design and innovation capabilities in terms of value added products etc. and spreading the risk rather than being concentrated in just one market. In order to make the global consolidation process succeed one needs to focus on the three Ps that is Purpose, Process and People.

The migration of manufacturing from high cost countries to relatively low cost countries has been an ongoing phenomena for the last four decades with the desire to reduce costs on a long term basis. There is also the benefit of increased cost variability. However, as more and more fixed costs become variable through contract manufacturing there are certain risks that need to be dealt with such as exchange rate risks, issues of product liability, warranty, quality issues etc.

Some of the business models adopted by organizations running their manufacturing operations in India are the Cost and Reliability model seen in the case of contract manufacturing by Indian Pharmaceutical firms; Local for Local model adopted by consumer electronic firms; Concept to Product model as seen in the case of R & D in the chemical sector in India and Local for Global model adopted by automotive OEMs and small car manufacturers in India.

A sustainable competitive advantage can be obtained through Lean Manufacturing which can provide advantages in all the four dimensions whether it is cost minimization through waste reduction, drawing better value from business, enhancing speed of execution, reducing failure rates etc.

One of the great things that India offers is the ability to manufacture large and small volumes at competitive costs. India also has a good ability to design and develop products in engineering, pharma, auto and other segments.

The most sustainable cost advantage in India rests with its good quality of engineering professionals especially in the area of design, development and testing which constitutes an enormous portion of the cost of precision components.

India's long term cost advantage lies in components which have a reasonable content of labor, highly skilled operations, items that can be manufactured using locally available raw materials and preferably locally available machine tools. India's long term cost competitive advantage in contract manufacturing is for products that require modest quantities.

The downturn is likely to accelerate the demand for small cars in India and worldwide giving India a huge opportunity in contract manufacturing as it has experience, scale and competitive advantage in the small car sector. Many auto component manufacturers in India are conversant with multiple standards like engineering standards from Korea, Japan, UK, Germany etc. This is an advantage that can be leveraged for contract manufacturing.

The biggest opportunity that India offers is the size of its market.