Archives
 
 
 
 
Current Issue
 
Indo-African Business
Quarterly
Issue: -Feb-Apr2009
  STUDY
 
   
 
Indian iron & steel industry
The Economic Backbone
Sustaining Development


Iron and steel industry is considered as a sub-segment of core industry and therefore forms the backbone of industrial development. The wide range of application makes steel as one of the most important ingredients for manufacturing and other industrial activities. Steel industry, being a capital intensive one, have high correlation with the growth in the economy, especially the steel consuming segments, such as manufacturing, housing and infrastructure. Thus, usually in a country, a period of industrial growth is matched by prosperity in the iron and steel sector; similarly, industrial sluggishness gets captured in contraction in demand for iron and steel, resulting in a phase of stagnation for the industry. The level of per capita consumption of steel is also treated as one of the important indicators of socio economic development and living standards of the people in a country.

Production

India is the fifth largest producer of steel in the world with a share of around 4.0 percent. According to the data collated by Ministry of Steel, Government of India, India witnessed a production level of 58.2 million tonnes in 2007-08, a growth of 5.6 percent over the previous year. The production has witnessed a compounded annual growth of 10 percent in the last eight years. According to the Office of Economic Advisor, Government of India, during the period April-December 2008, steel production in India grew by 2.7 percent, to reach 39.8 million tonnes. Indian steel industry produces almost all grades and varieties of steel, comparable to international standards. Over the years, the percentage share of secondary producers (new private sector players, including mini steel plants) has increased; from a level of around 44 percent in 1991-92, the share of secondary producers in steel production increased to 70 percent in 2007-08.

Exports

It was in the post-liberalization period that the export of iron and steel recorded a quantum jump in India. During 2007-08, India's exports were around five million tonnes; finished carbon steel constituted 92 percent of total exports, whereas pig iron and semi-finished iron together constituted 8.0 percent. According to World Trade Organisation (WTO), India's share in world exports of iron and steel was 3.8 percent in the year 2007. India is also an importer of steel; in the year 2007-08, steel imports touched 6.5 million tonnes, making India as a net importer of steel for the first time in the post liberalization period.

In terms of value, India's exports of iron and steel in the year 2007-08 was US $ 5.5 billion, and India's imports of iron and steel were valued at US $ 8.2 billion, leading to a trade deficit of US $ 2.7 billion under this category. India's export markets for steel are well diversified and less concentrated as compared to imports. Major export markets in 2007-08 for steel are: Belgium (10 percent), USA and UAE (8 percent each), Italy and Indonesia (5.0 percent each), Germany (4.0 percent), Iran, Spain and Thailand (3.0 percent each), Sri Lanka, UK, Vietnam and Malaysia (2.0 percent each). In terms of imports of iron and steel, China was the major source country for India with a share of 23 percent in 2007-08, followed by South Korea (11 percent), Japan (9.0 percent), Germany (6.0 percent), Russia (5.0 percent), USA and Ukraine (4.0 percent each), Belgium, Italy, Thailand and Romania (3.0 percent each). During April-October 2008-09, the export of Iron and steel grew by 40.63 percent to reach US $4.3 billion and the imports of iron and steel grew by 16 percent to reach US $ 6.0 billion.

Country-wise Export of Iron and Steel from India (2007-08)

The beginning of 2008 saw a spike in steel prices, and the main factor behind such spike in steel prices was growth in demand generated by the construction, automobile and infrastructure industries. However, the economic recession, which has taken a toll on the growth of all these sectors, has led to the fall in demand for steel worldwide, leading to production cuts and reduction in prices. The demand for steel in end-user industries, such as construction and automotive has fallen. A slowdown in the sector could also result in delays in implementation of new steel plants. Many global steel majors have decided to cut output as the economic slowdown has dampened demand for the steel used in houses and cars. Even Indian companies are looking at rationalizing production due to the economic turbulence. There is also threat of import competition, as China has announced scraping of export tax on steel products, owing to weak domestic demand.

Another development was the fall in prices of steel during the third quarter of 2008. Almost in all product categories, prices have declined, and in some cases the decline has been steep. The margin squeeze and contraction in demand has made the steel majors to defer their expansion strategies, though the industry has committed a capacity expansion of over 100 million tonnes in the long-term. Steel majors may have to stall their capacity additions in order to avoid further piling up of stocks.


Lack of demand and a softening global scenario led all large steel companies, to announce price reduction in the range Rs 3,000 - 4,000 per tonne. The cut, which was mainly targeted at base category product such as hot rolled coils, is subsequently expected to be passed through in all value-added products like galvanised steel and cold rolled steel that are more widely used in consumer goods. Credit crunch has led the customers to defer home purchases and also that of consumer goods, including automobiles, leading to a contraction in demand for steel. Also, the end-user sectors, such as appliances, farm-machinery and construction-machinery manufacturers, are cutting down the inventory levels (thereby holding new orders) in order to improve their liquidity position. Some Indian steel companies have already announced planned cut in production by about 20 to 30 percent due to demand contraction. Hence, in the short term, steel industry would face challenges associated with demand contraction.
   
 
 
Copyrights New Media 2009. All Rights reserved.